Spending Trends

Department of State Contract Spending Trends

Department of State Contract Spending Trends shows how federal contract spending changes across the visible time series in FPDS-derived procurement data.

The latest visible point is 2025 at 9.67. Across the visible range, the series changed by 96,600.00%.

Federal Contract Spending Spending Trends Spending Series Series

Updated 03/20/2026

Latest Period
2025
9.67
Visible Change
96,600.00%
9.66
Peak Period
2022
11.83
Trend Direction
Up
Very Strong

Analysis

The latest visible point is 2025 at 9.67. Across the visible range, the series changed by 96,600.00%.

Why it matters: Use this page to evaluate how federal contract spending levels shift over time and identify inflection points.

Methodology: The query returns a structured time series, detects a period column and a primary numeric metric, and computes visible-series statistics such as latest value, peak, low, and overall change.

Commentary

Department of State Contract Spending Trends tracks federal contract spending over time in FPDS-derived data.

Key takeaway: The latest visible point is 2025 at 9.67. Overall visible change is 96,600.00%.

Analyst note: This page is best used for directional review, turning points, and quick comparison against related time windows or scopes.

Trend Chart

This chart plots Federal Contract Spending over the visible time series returned by the query.

Query Used

-- Department of State Contract Spending Trends
SELECT
    fiscal_year,
    round(sum(obligated_amount) / 1000000000, 2) AS spending_billion_usd,
    count() AS award_count,
    round(sum(obligated_amount) / count(), 0) AS avg_award_size
FROM
(
    SELECT
        if(
            toUInt8(substring(content__award__relevantContractDates__signedDate, 6, 2)) >= 10,
            toUInt16(substring(content__award__relevantContractDates__signedDate, 1, 4)) + 1,
            toUInt16(substring(content__award__relevantContractDates__signedDate, 1, 4))
        ) AS fiscal_year,
        content__award__dollarValues__obligatedAmount AS obligated_amount
    FROM fpds.data
    WHERE
        contract_type = 1
        AND content__award__relevantContractDates__signedDate != ''
        AND content__award__purchaserInformation__contractingOfficeAgencyID__departmentName = 'STATE, DEPARTMENT OF'
)
WHERE fiscal_year < toYear(today())
GROUP BY fiscal_year
ORDER BY fiscal_year ASC

Trend Table

This table shows the structured time series returned by the query.

Fiscal Year Spending Billion Usd Award Count Avg Award Size
1979 0.01 324 34306
1980 0.05 1159 45627
1981 0.09 1257 73776
1982 0.12 1725 70480
1983 0.14 2058 72619
1984 0.22 2118 104772
1985 0.24 2809 86821
1986 0.33 1622 208409
1987 0.31 1308 238337
1988 0.40 1948 207611
1989 0.39 1911 206233
1990 0.44 2096 212989
1991 0.52 2181 240475
1992 0.71 3983 179771
1993 0.59 3574 166336
1994 0.58 3893 151327
1995 0.74 5200 142575
1996 0.67 4111 164581
1997 0.55 3369 164684
1998 0.64 3453 188167
1999 1.08 5381 202439
2000 1.28 5502 233746
2001 1.80 8074 223645
2002 2.65 9661 274469
2003 3.38 10267 329698
2004 3.82 19194 199383
2005 5.48 48988 112039
2006 4.90 54118 90629
2007 5.64 51905 108755
2008 5.74 55749 103050
2009 6.94 63073 110074
2010 7.46 72139 103523
2011 7.55 74302 101626
2012 8.26 81948 100882
2013 7.15 83335 85803
2014 9.01 84309 106932
2015 8.08 85129 95020
2016 8.67 84195 103045
2017 10.91 82404 132486
2018 9.95 73616 135184
2019 9.47 56313 168202
2020 9.16 51901 176535
2021 9.75 53948 180749
2022 11.83 59235 199850
2023 11.52 63952 180179
2024 11.49 57962 198284
2025 9.67 53367 181320

How This Trend Is Built

Measure how a selected procurement metric changes across time.

Query structure

  • The query selects a time dimension used as the x-axis for the trend.
  • It calculates or returns a numeric metric for each visible period.
  • The result is interpreted as a chronological series for trend analysis.
  • The metric focuses on obligated dollars or a directly related spending aggregate.

Included fields

  • fiscal_year — Defines the chronological unit used for the trend series.
  • spending_billion_usd — Defines the main value plotted and analyzed over time.
  • award_count — Provides additional numeric context that can support interpretation.
  • avg_award_size — Provides additional numeric context that can support interpretation.

How to use this trend

  • trend direction analysis
  • time-series review
  • federal procurement timing analysis
  • spending trajectory review
  • budget pattern review

Computed Metrics

Series Points
47
First Visible Point
1979
0.01
Mean
4.26
Median
2.65
Max
11.83
2022
Min
0.01
1979
Volatility
4.11
4.11
Rows Returned
47

Series Extremes

Largest Increase
2.24
2016 → 2017 · 25.84%
Largest Decrease
-1.82
2024 → 2025 · -15.84%

Related Pages

Method Notes

  • Trend interpretation is based on the returned query result set ordered by the detected period column.
  • Change metrics compare the first visible point and the latest visible point in the series.
  • Volatility is based on the standard deviation of the visible numeric series.

Use FPDS Query for deeper trend analysis

Go beyond the published time series with custom SQL, broader filters, saved queries, and deeper procurement analysis across agencies, vendors, industries, states, contract structures, and competitive segments.

Continue from this trend page into full FPDS Query workflows with deeper filtering, custom SQL, saved queries, and broader market comparison.